Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Leverkusen
26.2%
Draw
37.8%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Leverkusen
vs
1.50
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-2
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).