Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Le Havre
25.9%
Draw
51.2%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Le Havre
vs
1.40
Monaco
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
10.6%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).