Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Sevilla
25.1%
Draw
28.2%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Sevilla
vs
1.23
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).