Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Ipswich
25.6%
Draw
57.1%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Ipswich
vs
1.83
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-2
10.6%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
7.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
0-4
3.0%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).