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10 May 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
32.7%
Draw
38.6%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
1.13

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.0%
0-1
13.0%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).