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17 Apr 2021 · 12:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.1%
Halifax
27.4%
Draw
23.5%
King’s Lynn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Halifax

vs
1.01

King’s Lynn

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).