Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Man United
25.7%
Draw
29.6%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Man United
vs
1.44
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS65.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).