Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Newport County
25.7%
Draw
35.9%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Newport County
vs
1.25
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).