Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
25.4%
Draw
52.2%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.78
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.9%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).