Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.8%
Middlesbrough
27.7%
Draw
50.5%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Middlesbrough
vs
1.54
Leeds
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.0%
0-2
10.0%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).