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22 Jan 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.3%
Kayserispor
30.0%
Draw
13.7%
Istanbulspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Kayserispor

vs
0.73

Istanbulspor

Markets

BTTS44.7%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
2-0
12.5%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).