Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.9%
Sheffield Wednesday
30.0%
Draw
45.2%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
1.34
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
11.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).