Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.3%
Chesterfield
15.0%
Draw
9.7%
Fylde
Expected Goals (xG)
2.88
Chesterfield
vs
1.00
Fylde
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.4%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
1-1
6.5%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
5-0
3.4%
5-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).