Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Crewe
23.3%
Draw
53.3%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Crewe
vs
1.68
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).