Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Walsall
27.0%
Draw
42.1%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Walsall
vs
1.26
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).