Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.8%
Newport County
23.5%
Draw
52.8%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Newport County
vs
1.65
Crewe
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
6.4%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).