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DHT: 11CSV

02 Apr 2023 · 20:00

Ibiza

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.5%
Mirandes
23.8%
Draw
19.7%
Ibiza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Mirandes

vs
0.88

Ibiza

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.0%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).