Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Wrexham
25.5%
Draw
14.7%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Wrexham
vs
0.53
Exeter
Markets
BTTS30.1%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.2%
2-0
14.3%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
4-0
2.4%
0-2
2.0%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).