Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.2%
Modena
17.9%
Draw
6.9%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Modena
vs
0.56
Lecco
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
1-0
12.8%
3-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
8.3%
0-0
6.8%
4-0
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-0
2.9%
0-1
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).