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29 Mar 2026 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.1%
Eibar
36.1%
Draw
34.8%
Las Palmas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Eibar

vs
0.81

Las Palmas

Markets

BTTS28.2%
Over 0.578.3%
Over 1.544.9%
Over 2.519.7%
Over 3.56.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
21.7%
0-1
17.8%
1-0
15.7%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
0-3
1.9%
2-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
3-0
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).