Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
Lens
19.6%
Draw
21.2%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Lens
vs
1.25
Marseille
Markets
BTTS63.4%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-0
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
3-2
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).