Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Fuenlabrada
24.5%
Draw
43.8%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Fuenlabrada
vs
1.56
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).