Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Mirandes
22.7%
Draw
50.2%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Mirandes
vs
1.83
Castellon
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
0-3
4.5%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).