Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Carlisle
24.4%
Draw
25.2%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Carlisle
vs
1.02
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).