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22 Jan 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.1%
Anderlecht
30.2%
Draw
23.6%
Waasland-Beveren

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Anderlecht

vs
0.84

Waasland-Beveren

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
9.9%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).