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HHT: 10CSV

17 Jan 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.9%
Standard
31.9%
Draw
43.2%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Standard

vs
1.17

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS39.2%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.3%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).