Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.3%
Sturm Graz
25.0%
Draw
25.7%
Austria Wien
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Sturm Graz
vs
1.23
Austria Wien
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).