Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →93.2%
Krasnodar
5.2%
Draw
1.6%
Sochi
Expected Goals (xG)
4.20
Krasnodar
vs
0.61
Sochi
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.595.5%
Over 2.585.8%
Over 3.570.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
10.6%
3-0
10.1%
5-0
8.9%
2-0
7.2%
4-1
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
5-1
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
1-0
3.2%
1-1
2.3%
4-2
2.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).