Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Palermo
29.9%
Draw
22.2%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Palermo
vs
0.87
Modena
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).