Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.4%
Barnet
14.1%
Draw
8.5%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94
Barnet
vs
0.94
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.4%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.554.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
8.9%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
6.4%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
6.0%
1-0
5.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
3.9%
5-0
3.8%
5-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).