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03 Nov 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.8%
Arbroath
18.3%
Draw
9.9%
East Fife

Expected Goals (xG)

2.30

Arbroath

vs
0.75

East Fife

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.0%
0-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).