Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
Las Palmas
24.9%
Draw
12.1%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Las Palmas
vs
0.51
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS31.2%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.9%
2-0
15.3%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
10.0%
3-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
4.0%
4-0
3.0%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.0%
0-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).