Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Willenhall Town
18.6%
Draw
27.4%
Birtley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
Willenhall Town
vs
1.77
Birtley Town
Markets
BTTS75.8%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.579.6%
Over 3.561.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
1-1
6.1%
3-2
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
4-1
4.0%
1-0
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).