Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Charleroi
25.9%
Draw
35.4%
Mechelen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Charleroi
vs
1.39
Mechelen
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).