Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.8%
Galatasaray
19.3%
Draw
5.9%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Galatasaray
vs
0.61
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
3-0
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
4-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).