Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.5%
Arsenal
8.5%
Draw
2.0%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
3.23
Arsenal
vs
0.42
Leicester
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.6%
2-0
13.6%
4-0
11.8%
1-0
7.9%
5-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
4-1
5.0%
1-1
4.0%
5-1
3.2%
0-0
3.1%
3-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).