Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.4%
Swindon
19.8%
Draw
15.8%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Swindon
vs
0.88
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
0-1
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).