Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Burnley
20.8%
Draw
60.2%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Burnley
vs
1.98
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.7%
2-3
3.3%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).