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12 Sept 2025 · 17:00

Pau FC

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.3%
Sønderjyske Fodbold
30.3%
Draw
26.3%
Pau FC

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Sønderjyske Fodbold

vs
0.95

Pau FC

Markets

BTTS45.6%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).