Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Maidenhead
30.2%
Draw
31.8%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Maidenhead
vs
1.11
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).