Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Cadiz
25.4%
Draw
40.0%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Cadiz
vs
1.42
Malaga
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).