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02 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.2%
Bonnyrigg Rose
29.7%
Draw
53.1%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Bonnyrigg Rose

vs
1.56

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS45.6%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
11.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).