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DHT: 11CSV

28 Jan 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.0%
Lorient
25.3%
Draw
18.8%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Lorient

vs
0.75

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.0%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).