Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Maidenhead
23.7%
Draw
35.4%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Maidenhead
vs
1.70
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS69.4%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).