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14 Mar 2021 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.8%
Tenerife
31.8%
Draw
33.4%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Tenerife

vs
0.93

Albacete

Markets

BTTS36.9%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.2%
1-0
14.7%
0-1
14.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).