Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Watford
31.9%
Draw
43.7%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Watford
vs
1.30
Wolves
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
12.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).