Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Crotone
20.9%
Draw
53.7%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Crotone
vs
2.07
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS65.0%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.545.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
0-2
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).