Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Espanol
29.0%
Draw
25.3%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Espanol
vs
0.91
Alaves
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).