Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Hertha
27.9%
Draw
41.4%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Hertha
vs
1.41
Mainz
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
8.0%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).