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03 Dec 2022 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.8%
Forest Green
26.3%
Draw
50.9%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Forest Green

vs
1.33

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS38.5%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.3%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
11.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
4.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).